留学生论文定制-格式要求和范例
时间:2012-11-06 06:38:15 来源:www.ukthesis.org 作者:英国论文网 点击:196次
PAPER CRITERIA 会计学论文评分标准 The topic must relate to accounting, accounting theory or accounting history.
这个主题与会计、会计理论以及会计历史是相关的:
Each paper must have an introduction that acts as a roadmap for the reader, that is, it must specifically describe what the topics that will be covered in the paper. The body of the paper must reflect the outline described in the introduction. All papers must have a summary or conclusion. I recommend the use of subheadings to help organize the flow of the paper. The motivation of why I choose purchasing power parity Theory which is I am very interesting about the reason of the same good can have huge different price in different countries. For example in US a BMW335i motor is only 42800 dollar. But in China it cost 626000 yuan, equivalent of 98366 dollar. Another way , the cucumber per Kg in China is 5.6 yuan , but in US it is cost 3.9 dollar per Kg. That means the same cost can have different earnings in different countries. Of course there are many factors lead to this result, exchange rate, tariff, the relationship between supply and demand, interest rate and so on. But how can we say it is a correct or reasonable price? The purchasing power parity Theory is a wide application approach. It initially by an economist Thornton in United Kingdom in 1802 .With the passage of time, it become a part of the classical economic theory and finally an Sweden economists Gustav Cassel(1866-1945) developed and enriched this theory. There are four hypothesis on the theory.First, international trade must be totally free. Second, the changes in commodity prices should be the same for all ranges. Third, price is the only factor affecting exchange rate. Finally, the amount of currency is the only factor affecting purchasing power parity. And the most important viewpoint of purchasing power parity theory is a currency that is calculated according to the price levels in different countries between the coefficient of equivalence, to enable fair comparison of the gross domestic product of countries, and there have a lot of gaps between this theory and actual rates of exchange. In other word, the reason of domestic need foreign currency or foreign need domestic currency is the two currencies in the issuing country has the purchasing power parity of commodity, the exchange rate between the two countries due to the ratio between their purchasing power parity. There are two senses in purchasing power parity theory hypothesis. Absolute Purchasing Power Theory and Relative Purchasing Power Theory. Absolute Purchasing Power Theory is also known as The Law of One price. The conditions of law of one price contains all the countries have adopted the same degree of currency convertibility, the information must be fully, there is no transaction costs and the tariffs should be zero. Then we can conclude that the equilibrium exchange rate between the domestic currency and foreign currency should be equal to the ratio of purchasing power or price levels between the domestic and foreign countries. But absolute is not perfect, so the economists use Relative purchasing power theory which is “the change of the exchange rate over a given period just offsets the difference in inflation rates in the countries concerned over the same period(Journal of Economic Perspectives pp137)”. Contrast to absolute purchasing power parity theory , it consider with inflation rate because sometimes inflation will reducing the purchasing power parity of currencies. The relationship between absolute and relative PPP is that if absolute PPP holds then the relative PPP must hold because the price index is the ratio between . But if relative PPP holds, the absolute PPP dose not necessarily hold, since “it is possible that common changes in nominal exchange rates are happening at different levels of purchasing power for the two currencies(Journal of Economic Perspectives pp137)”.
My study aims to investigate the relationship between the purchasing power parity and exchange rate, inflation rate. I chose China and US to be my investigation objects. China is the biggest developing country and it kept 10% growth rate over the last 30 years. In 2010, it overtook japan as the world’s second largest economy. At the same time, China is the largest exporter and second importer of goods in the world. US, the largest economy of the world, approximately a quarter of the global GDP.
First I used the approach which has been proposed by Frankel on 1978. This approach attempted to test whether the real exchange rate is stationary. In the other words, it tested whether the real exchange rate process follows a random walk. Then I try to test the following equation: Visual inspection offers several insights. First, we may note that the variable qt has a positive intercept at about 2.05. Also it shows an erratic behaviour. It dose not move around its mean, it fluctuated violently from 1994-1995 and the hump is about 2.29, after that it show a sharp in the trend until to 1996.After that it increase slowly and erratically. From 2006 it show a decrease in the trend. Finally there is not an obvious trend. From this information I can derive the conclusion that the variable qt seems to be non-stationary. Also, the absence of a clear trend in its movement. In order to validate my conclusion, next I try to test unit roots of qt. Unit root test is a existence of a unit root test sequences. The time series is non-stationary if there is a unit root exist. Here, I used ADF test. (责任编辑:www.ukthesis.org) |